Experts don't expect military action soon. But actual regime change is complicated.

Since January, the Trump administration has effectively blockaded nearly all oil shipments to Cuba, causing conditions on the island to deteriorate dramatically. Electricity is becoming more unreliable,

Cuba periodically frees prisoners at key moments. In January 2025, Cuba’s government released 553 prisoners as part of talks with the Vatican, a day after the Biden administration announced its intent to lift the U.S. designation of the island nation as a state sponsor of terrorism.

Russia plans to send a second oil tanker to Cuba, the country’s energy minister said Thursday, citing the island’s ongoing energy blockade and reiterating Russia’s solidarity with the troubled

The Communist authorities in Cuba have said they will release 2,010 prisoners as a “humanitarian gesture”, a move that comes amid intense pressure from the Trump administration, including a near-total oil blockade.

Dozens of congressional Democrats sent a letter to President Trump on Thursday raising urgent alarm over an escalating humanitarian crisis in Cuba that has been made worse, they said, by the administration’s fuel quarantine against the island.

The Trump administration is setting its sights on Cuba as the country struggles with a worsening economic crisis and energy blockade.

Cuba’s top diplomat says the island is open to economic cooperation, outlining a roadmap for closer ties even as Trump pushes regime change.